Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.049609 1.271309 1.507125 1.774641 2.067802 2.377562 2.727904
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.804081 1.114813 1.468941 1.894078 2.383003 2.920977 3.551249
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.681970 1.040975 1.469762 2.003237 2.634563 3.345270 4.193905
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.589089 0.985119 1.478846 2.112360 2.880042 3.760184 4.826828
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.493034 0.906667 1.445007 2.156354 3.037268 4.063797 5.323999
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.401329 0.819093 1.388049 2.162273 3.141337 4.299804 5.738964
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.304395 0.707083 1.285837 2.099738 3.152465 4.418218 6.009970
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.226765 0.609418 1.191909 2.038533 3.157647 4.523592 6.260724
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.171727 0.536907 1.125005 2.006117 3.193475 4.661664 6.546708
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.140778 0.500894 1.107872 2.038655 3.311014 4.899243 6.952401
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.110608 0.458910 1.076851 2.048290 3.396120 5.094883 7.306152
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.079308 0.404654 1.020227 2.016814 3.423324 5.215422 7.566161
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.074506 0.414764 1.075241 2.156544 3.692319 5.656931 8.241155
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.068150 0.419706 1.121913 2.285598 3.949668 6.087458 8.907803
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.062021 0.423225 1.165124 2.408861 4.198787 6.507356 9.561348
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.056193 0.425920 1.206457 2.529509 4.445099 6.924917 10.213849
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.043993 0.404228 1.201680 2.578566 4.591938 7.214103 10.706233
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.030551 0.370323 1.170792 2.585042 4.678173 7.424078 11.099100
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015866 0.316059 1.094403 2.515677 4.654845 7.489172 11.307991
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.006566 0.267662 1.022109 2.447659 4.629626 7.548993 11.507988
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002178 0.232832 0.972108 2.411609 4.646633 7.661445 11.771852
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000812 0.218825 0.966039 2.447797 4.767984 7.912621 12.213393
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.199795 0.945803 2.458510 4.851252 8.112569 12.589275